Future storms hazard
Overview
A global dataset at 0.1° degrees resolution of three storm indicators from five climate models under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment report (AR6). The time resolution is annual from 1981 to 2100.
Storms dataset specifications
| Specification | Description |
| Experiment | CMIP6 |
| Scenarios | Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP5-8.5, SSP2-4.5 and SSP1-2.6. |
| Climate Models | The 5 models selected by the ISIMIP initiative: IPSL-CM6A-LR GFDL-ESM4, UKESM1-0-LL MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0. |
| Spatial Resolution | 0.1° x 0.1° Global |
| Temporal resolution | Annual from 1981 to 2100 |
| Indicators | The storm hazard indicators are based on surface daily maximum hourly wind speed: – Storm Severity Index: Annual number of daily maximum hourly wind speed exceeding the 98th percentile of the reference period. – Extreme Wind Days: Annual number of days with daily maximum hourly wind speed above the 98th percentile threshold, indicating potential storm conditions. – Wind Intensity Index : Annual mean wind intensity on storm days, calculated as the sum of daily maximum hourly wind speed exceeding the 98th percentile divided by the number of storm days. |
| Format | Netcdf, other formats possible depending on data volume. |
Supplementary information
The dataset provides climate indicators that quantify the frequency and intensity of extreme wind events—such as severe winds —under historical and future climate scenarios. Derived from daily hourly maximum wind data, these metrics are calculated using scientifically defined thresholds based on percentile exceedance, and is derived from downscaled simulations of CMIP6 global climate models, allowing consistent analysis across multiple spatial and temporal scales.
Future storms dataset availability
The dataset can be delivered according to your specifications, contact us for a quote.
