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Future wildfires hazard dataset

Wildfires hazard dataset

A global dataset at 0.1° resolution of three wildfires indicators from five climate models under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). The time resolution is annual from 1981 to 2100.

Specification Description
Experiment CMIP6
Scenarios Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP5-8.5, SSP2-4.5 and SSP1-2.6.
Climate models The 5 models selected by the ISIMIP initiative: IPSL-CM6A-LR, GFDL-ESM4, UKESM1-0-LL, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0.
Spatial resolution 0.1° x 0.1° Global
Temporal resolution Annual from 1981 to 2100
Indicators

The wildfires danger indicators are based on the Canadian Fire Weather System.

  • Fire Weather Index: A measure of the general wildfire intensity, and considered as the general index of fire danger. The unit is a numeric rating.
  • Fire Extreme Danger days: Annual count of days when the FWI exceeds the 99th percentile threshold. The unit is days.
  • Fire season length: Annual count of days when the FWI exceeds half of the 99th percentile threshold. The unit is days.
Format NetCDF

The wildfires hazard is evaluated with wildfire danger indicators based on the Fire Weather Index (FWI), a fire weather indicator as defined by the Canadian Fire Weather System. The FWI is central to the three indicators of the dataset as one is the FWI annual average and the two others are frequency indicators calculated from daily values of the FWI.

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See all our climate projection data for the other hazards and the weather variables.