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Reanalysis

A reanalysis is a complete record of past weather, rebuilt by combining millions of observations with a weather forecast model. The model fills the gaps between weather stations, satellites and balloons, so the result covers every point of a regular grid, every hour, over several decades, with the same method throughout. That makes a reanalysis the usual stand-in for observations where weather stations are few or their records short.

The reference reanalyses today are ERA5 and ERA5-Land, produced by ECMWF for the Copernicus Climate Change Service, which updates them daily, a few days behind real time.

Table 1. The two reanalyses (Hersbach et al., 2020; Muñoz-Sabater et al., 2021).

ERA5 ERA5-Land
Resolution 0.25°, about 30 km 0.1°, about 9 km
Coverage the whole globe, atmosphere, land and ocean land surfaces only
Time step hourly hourly
Period 1940 to present 1950 to present

ERA5-Land is not a separate reanalysis of observations: it reruns the land component of ERA5 at a finer resolution, driven by ERA5’s weather. Its gain is the finer detail of land-surface variables such as temperature and precipitation, for example in mountains.

ERA5-Land is the reference of our climate projections: each climate model is bias-adjusted against it over 1981–2010, which brings the projections to its 0.1° grid (see Bias adjustment and downscaling and Data processing). Our earlier CMIP5 projections used ERA5 at 0.25° (Noël et al., 2022). For the data themselves, see our climate projections on the main site.

A reanalysis is only as good as the observations behind it: its quality varies by variable and region, with how many observations it rests on. We recommend checking ERA5-Land against local data over the historical period before using projections built on it (Noël et al., 2022). For the historical data we provide, see Do you provide historical observations?

  • Noël, T., Loukos, H., Defrance, D., Vrac, M., & Levavasseur, G. (2022). Extending the global high-resolution downscaled projections dataset to include CMIP6 projections at increased resolution coherent with the ERA5-Land reanalysis. Data in Brief, 45, 108669. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2022.108669
  • Muñoz-Sabater, J., Dutra, E., Agustí-Panareda, A., Albergel, C., Arduini, G., Balsamo, G., et al. (2021). ERA5-Land: a state-of-the-art global reanalysis dataset for land applications. Earth System Science Data, 13, 4349–4383. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-4349-2021
  • Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A., Muñoz-Sabater, J., et al. (2020). The ERA5 global reanalysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146, 1999–2049. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3803